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2024-12-13 05:39:35

First, simply sort out the contents of the after-hours meeting:Overnight, the external stock markets were mixed, and the three major indexes of the United States weakened collectively, while the Chinese stock index rose by 8.35% and the A50 index rose by 0.84%. The external sentiment was obviously beneficial to China assets. Therefore, there is no suspense in opening higher today, but if the opening is too large, it is not a good thing.


To put it simply, if you open higher and go higher today, there may be another stage high point in the short term, which may not be too friendly for the promotion of the market outlook. At least before the daily deviation is digested, it is a hidden dark mine, and then the fluctuation will be relatively large.1. This time, boosting consumption and expanding domestic demand are put in the first place, which is basically consistent with the official media preheating. But I emphasized this piece yesterday. It's not that everyone doesn't want to spend, but that they don't have money to spend. It depends on whether the money issued by the special national debt can be cashed in, which will benefit big consumption in the short term, but the overall increase of this piece is really not small. Don't blindly chase after it.


On the weekend, the official media continued to warm up. Yesterday, A shares were tepid, and they were even maliciously smashed in the afternoon! As a result, after the close of trading, there was a favorable level of king explosion. At least the periphery has gone crazy, so how will A shares go today? How should we deal with it?Secondly, the status of the stock market has obviously risen, but the last 500 billion swap facility+300 billion loan repurchase just pulled the index to 3509 points. This time, the expectation lies in the medium and long term. In addition to fighting chicken blood in the short term, it is not as effective as the substantial payment in early November. Don't rush to chase after it.What I want to express is very simple. The tone of this meeting is very positive, but it is beneficial to the medium and long term, and the short term may not be as radical as everyone thinks. At least today is suitable for holding shares, but it is not suitable for chasing up. Next, let's talk about my views from a technical point of view!

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